TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd08…84b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
528
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT29954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 299 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.38
Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$7.54
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.71
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$7.87
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.8
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$17.91
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$20.2
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.08
Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$17.98
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.03
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$10.73
Southern Jaguars vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$6.19
Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$30.33
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.93
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$7.05
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$17.82
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.12
Showing 25 of 299 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT19346.6%90 W · 103 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 193 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.72
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.84
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$32.44
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$17.67
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$17.36
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.58
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$9.8
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 193 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.3
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.23
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.05
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Genoa CFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+59.6%+$35.1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$13.68
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.74
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26.54
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$20.2
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.52
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.