Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c0478c6a266e5e9650f2252911b929451c4a33b332d18b7089e719ad97beec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 27,390$8,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,233.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 61c | 23,734$14,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,256.35 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 60c | 23,309$14,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,223.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 39c | 10,916$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.13 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 40c | 9,801$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.83 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 76c | 7,746$5,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.06 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 77cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 39c | 6,988$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.27 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Under | 61c | 5,639$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 3,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.07 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 2,913$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.23 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Over | 40c | 2,613$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 39c | 1,662$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 61c | 1,420$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 39c | 1,346$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 1,165$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 30c | 1,007$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.22 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over | 39c | 749$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 40c | 604.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.53 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 40c | 503.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 39c | 480.28$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 21c | 314.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 39c | 280$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…81dabacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 40c | 199.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 184.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 39c | 174$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Under | 62c | 150.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 61c | 141.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 61c | 133$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 60c | 129$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 38c | 126.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 39c | 116.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 25c | 88.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 60c | 88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…07e9backed Under | 61c | 81.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Over | 40c | 73.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 61c | 63.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 29c | 51.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 61c | 48.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…109cbacked Over | 32c | 47.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 39c | 35.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Under | 61c | 26.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…f912backed Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.