Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b4afd61b6c3afd6e6a2df2691c01791393874f4332eb23f3d8d35f8fe7dad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 11,140$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.36 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Over | 29c | 2,907$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 60c | 1,999$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 1,652$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.19 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 17c | 1,250$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.68 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 782.2$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.17 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 3c | 741.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Over | 53c | 600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…81dabacked Over | 62c | 599.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 50c | 593.38$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 30c | 421$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 54c | 399.85$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…d82ebacked Under | 77c | 260.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 16c | 250.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 248.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 17c | 214.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 35c | 212.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 17c | 182$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 160.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 39c | 158.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Under | 76c | 127.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 67c | 111.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 38c | 100.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 89.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 87.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 41c | 81.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 78c | 78.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 77.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 76.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 53c | 75.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 54c | 73.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…f733backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 17c | 63.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Over | 58c | 59.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…b387backed Under | 46c | 58.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 30c | 53.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…9e9bbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 50c | 48.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 69c | 45.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d7b4backed Over | 26c | 42.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 48c | 42.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Over | 69c | 37.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…41bcbacked Over | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 51c | 34.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 50c | 29.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…cceabacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 69c | 20.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…35b8backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 75c | 15.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.