TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9120…102c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST190%0 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$398.2
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.1
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.13
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$666.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$246.58
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$201.2
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$110.78
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45.8
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$58.92
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$92.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$210.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$123.74
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+145.7%+$535.18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$526.2
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54.92
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$372.24
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.9%+$246
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$77.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$89.29
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$181.5
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$144
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.4
FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+113%+$119.34
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$46.75
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$448.9
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$68.69
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+300%+$300
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$251.42
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$113.2
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$73.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$85.7
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+233.3%+$233.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+52.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+204.6%+$204.61
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.25
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,332.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.