Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68816c667404d908a7f9e988fe1a90c6b459c0e641b0ee4ef63786d7c25e4670
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 4,236$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.5 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 4,126$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…7535backed No | 60c | 3,111$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 39c | 2,222$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.58 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 1,992$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.77 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 1,579$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.68 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 56c | 1,470$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +831.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 1,284$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.78 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…400ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,158$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,086$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.78 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…35e5backed Yes | 40c | 1,047$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 61c | 1,007$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.73 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 61c | 999.92$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…43c6backed Yes | 40c | 892$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 782.85$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.27 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 41c | 756.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 38c | 737.62$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.24 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 60c | 713.93$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.93 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 529.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 60c | 509.65$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.41 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 40c | 495$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 41c | 380$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 341$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4212…ad52backed Yes | 40c | 310$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d7a3backed No | 60c | 305$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed Yes | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…86bbbacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…66b7backed Yes | 40c | 295$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 26c | 282$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 262.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 40c | 252.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 63c | 210.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 39c | 198.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 198.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Yes | 41c | 184.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 61c | 171.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…4eeebacked Yes | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 45c | 151.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 43c | 139.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 42c | 134.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 43c | 118.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 43c | 114.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 38c | 100.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…6095backed Yes | 36c | 92.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed No | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 36c | 78.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 78.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 35c | 62.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…3dacbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.