Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfd1345f979abe10e6e9f55751db1bca93b4a607aa99126276edb565d18f2ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 75c | 6,770$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.69 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 67c | 4,470$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.7 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 3,195$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.25 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 2,718$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 2,575$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 67c | 2,222$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.24 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 1,901$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.89 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 17c | 1,749$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.33 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,674$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.34 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,595$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.48 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,193$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.26 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 67c | 1,100$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.61 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 33c | 1,070$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.25 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 67c | 798.03$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 32c | 505$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 33c | 460.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 72c | 348.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Yes | 32c | 309$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 35c | 253.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked No | 77c | 240$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 16c | 212.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 27c | 207.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 31c | 164.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 148.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed Yes | 14c | 137.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed No | 76c | 131.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…f3c8backed Yes | 17c | 120.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked Yes | 33c | 118.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 67c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…cf19backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Yes | 17c | 65.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…f8d1backed No | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 32c | 54.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 69c | 45.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 66c | 34.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 32c | 32.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 73c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.