TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x882c…a26f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
247
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST5756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: (monkey) Business vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsbacked (monkey) Business · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$268
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
Dota 2: (monkey) Business vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+152.6%+$251.31
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$113.95
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.9%+$263.06
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$68.53
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.1%+$32.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+30.1%+$73.58
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$43.75
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+426.3%+$172.32
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+106.9%+$139.71
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+203%+$405.35
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Dota 2: Ivory vs REKONIX (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50.79
Dota 2: Execration vs Jackky and friends (BO3)backed Jackky and friends · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$81.09
Dota 2: Execration vs Jackky and friends - Game 2 Winnerbacked Jackky and friends · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pasika UA (BO3)backed Pasika UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$146.47
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Spirit Academy (BO1)backed Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$420
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.63
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$201.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+53.2%+$179
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$165
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$99.54
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST5733.3%19 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Abacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$68.98
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Dbacked Lille Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$140
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Cbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$139.98
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$118.99
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$260
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$188
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.8
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$659.95
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37.94
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$74
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+300%+$300
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+509.8%+$835.99
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$162.47
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$141.52
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST5545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. UTEP Minersbacked UTEP Miners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Missouri State Bears vs. New Mexico State Aggiesbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$138.7
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Morehead State Eaglesbacked Morehead State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Bellarmine Knights vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Central Arkansas Bears vs. West Georgia Wolvesbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$116.75
Stetson Hatters vs. Lipscomb Bisonsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$278.43
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$180
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$166.58
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$100
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120.45
Radford Highlanders vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked Winthrop Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+262.5%+$325.87
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+197.8%+$265.68
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+176.4%+$255.3
UNCG Spartans vs. VMI Keydetsbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$117.2
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Lafayette Leopards vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+166.7%+$250
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartansbacked USC Upstate Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$169.9
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-16.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$238.33
Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+102.9%+$253.75
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$139.76
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST3450%17 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+428.8%+$558.27
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$196.14
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+345.7%+$620.49
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.1%+$109.94
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$268.3
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+128.4%+$168.62
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+121%+$219
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+27.9%+$34.95
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+89.3%+$240.6
Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60.54
Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40.02
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+43.4%+$50.88
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+34.8%+$129.06
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37%+$108
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.4%+$147.85
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$236
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+34.8%+$140.71
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+138.2%+$175.25
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$170.57
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.18
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.7%+$22.98
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50.59
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.27
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$14.67
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick57cpaid-79.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.83
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50.76
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+25%+$4.05
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$51.58
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$147.28
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+215.2%+$68.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$304.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$103.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+62.4%+$161.4
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$81.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$354.54
Spread: PSV (-1.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$20.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$237
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$33.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+55.6%+$117.26
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$94.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+30.9%+$44.32
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$62.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$22.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.