Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37365de0bcd6f9cf73cb470a1dae8fe09509aa9dc5da8288a43d14bc72b0e222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x187b…f545backed Nigma Galaxy | 0c | 10,601$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,485$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 2,483$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.89 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 2,097$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,653$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.17 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 1,350$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.29 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff8…635fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 1,195$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,183$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 719.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 699.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 697.51$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 521.95$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 513.34$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 501$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 434.2$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 413.65$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 310$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 299.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 299.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 247.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 219.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 207.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 207$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 184.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 182.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 171.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 157.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 142.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 142.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 141.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…255bbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 131.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…066fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 125.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 118.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 114.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 107.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…88d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 103.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 100.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 94.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 91.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 89.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…edb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 89.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 83.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…0be6backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 74.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…3b1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 65.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…ed88backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…2855backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 51.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f991backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 48.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 41.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 37.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 25.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 19.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.