Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa745ede713ea69a2a225d6622999473ada5e10569126fe2d46f271ae3898d076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Natus Vincere, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 14,880$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 13,807$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.35 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 13,550$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,720.33 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 12,494$8,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.22 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…2855backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 8,078$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 6,627$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.51 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…f7cfbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 6,087$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 5,954$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 5,733$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.69 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,371$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.42 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,679$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 3,515$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.52 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 3,500$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.63 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 3,483$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.02 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,200$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.77 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,990$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,677$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.52 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 2,419$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.13 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 2,213$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.17 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,213$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 2,203$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 2,126$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.44 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,003$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdd…85d8backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,000$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…8d46backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,968$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,852$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.1 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,806$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.13 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 1,790$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.41 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,692$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.61 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,629$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.66 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,456$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,454$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.6 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…06f5backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 1,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…9484backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,100$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 1,072$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.6 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,062$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.63 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,029$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.75 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,018$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,012$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,008$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…146dbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 899.71$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 824.09$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.79 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 787.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.13 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 781.12$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.12 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…5c89backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 769.11$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 717.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 700$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 677.36$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 650$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 639.44$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.96 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 601.51$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 600$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.29 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 583.01$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 577.87$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.17 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 576.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…e862backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 567.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 557.36$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.63 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 554.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 551.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 529.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.39 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 521.21$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.14 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 499.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 489.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.76 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 467.71$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.64 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 454.76$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 452.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 435$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.95 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 417.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 410$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 400.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.31 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…c71ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 383.59$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 377.51$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.63 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 365.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 365$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.49 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 354.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 354.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 338.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.22 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 331.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 322.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 320.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 310$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.19 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 289.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 286.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 278.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 268.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 258.69$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 257.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.23 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…3f1bbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 256.74$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 227.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 220.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 210.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.