TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd01f…06f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2119%4 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.6
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.97
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$100
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.48
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+109.8%+$56.83
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+34.5%+$51.3
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.99
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-70.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$552.7
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.29
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+74.5%+$149.01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+50.4%+$50.42
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$129.2
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+400%+$160
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52.88
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+145%+$505.2
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$180.81
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$164.1
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$55.6
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+101.2%+$130.8
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.2
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.21
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$50.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.