Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfadf8cba63186ff19068b065b276456eb48d37cd86091fd2a7ff130227780aa6

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $378,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $266,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,628 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb100…6461backed Yes	1c	24,184$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.07	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	18,787$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.94	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	0c	17,333$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.24	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	8c	8,889$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	4c	7,861$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.82	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8095…e66fbacked Yes	1c	5,685$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	5,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.79	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	6c	5,000$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	4,473$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.22	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	7c	4,261$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.52	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	5c	4,031$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.39	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes	1c	4,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	218	18.3%40 W · 178 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes	1c	3,951$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+81.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a80…729cbacked Yes	3c	3,651$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.05	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	+38%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…bafebacked Yes	1c	3,338$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	28.9%22 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…76fcbacked Yes	1c	3,180$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	9cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	3,113$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.3	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	2,951$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.93	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Yes	10c	2,899$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	2c	2,771$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.6	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	1c	2,750$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	4c	2,506$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.11	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	4c	2,477$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.83	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	3c	2,472$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.79	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	2,374$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.42	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbc0…a438backed Yes	1c	2,328$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	1c	2,279$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	1c	2,148$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	2c	2,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x564b…8348backed Yes	5c	1,980$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.49	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5742…5e12backed Yes	5c	1,845$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.05	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	1,701$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.19	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	2c	1,495$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.36	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3038…fdebbacked Yes	14c	1,384$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	78	26.9%21 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Yes	1c	1,383$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	1,359$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a0…36aabacked Yes	6c	1,344$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.49	81	27.2%22 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4135…99d8backed Yes	3c	1,340$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.9	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1173…4dbfbacked Yes	5c	1,250$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.16	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	1,249$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	4c	1,225$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	3c	1,205$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.63	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes	3c	1,199$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x104d…4a52backed Yes	8c	1,199$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.37	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	5c	1,196$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.97	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes	3c	1,164$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.91	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe15a…9854backed Yes	9c	1,151$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	59	23.7%14 W · 45 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	4c	1,135$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.82	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	4c	992.61$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	3c	982.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.28	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	913.24$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.15	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2dd…00aebacked Yes	8c	907.1$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x774d…5cdabacked Yes	3c	899.96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes	7c	899.44$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	100	32%32 W · 68 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2246…dd6fbacked Yes	5c	896.34$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.45	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes	4c	890.02$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.12	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+471%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	855.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eef…d34ebacked Yes	5c	834$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.01	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-81%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d48…6573backed Yes	6c	829.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.84	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9edf…0f44backed Yes	7c	820.69$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	65	9.2%6 W · 59 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	13c	786.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	740.92$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes	5c	737.15$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	104	31.7%33 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+125.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	4c	706.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	5c	703.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	2c	699.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc044…de04backed Yes	5c	649.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4251…b98cbacked Yes	9c	595$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.09	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	569.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	8c	559.39$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	5c	547.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1471…e9a4backed Yes	10c	519.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes	4c	502.86$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	360	18.6%67 W · 293 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	8c	500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	5c	499.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f14…82b7backed Yes	6c	492.04$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.11	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-56%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…0b46backed Yes	5c	465.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes	3c	463.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	166	11.4%19 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	5c	420.59$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.93	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3b83…008bbacked Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes	13c	396.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	243	26.7%65 W · 178 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…7432backed Yes	5c	387.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	24.4%10 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977b…40f6backed Yes	6c	369.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01f…06f5backed Yes	6c	353.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…4a23backed Yes	7c	347.4$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.53	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+41%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c6…1f12backed Yes	15c	345.54$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.54	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Yes	6c	344.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa5…3bc2backed Yes	3c	342.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227d…8719backed Yes	7c	342.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	6c	341.19$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976e…1595backed Yes	6c	316.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf95…00ccbacked Yes	11c	306.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.05	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e41…9054backed Yes	5c	305.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbd…3e35backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2e…6604backed Yes	6c	300$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa2…bd41backed Yes	6c	299.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	161	19.9%32 W · 129 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	6c	298.83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ca…f77bbacked Yes	7c	297.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.23	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Yes	10c	284.75$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3b…c2ecbacked Yes	8c	278.36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+38%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event