TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e66…0d3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
473
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT33415.6%52 W · 282 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 334 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$324.32
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.92
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.98
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.78
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.86
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+427.5%+$283
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.86
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.05
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.87
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+368.2%+$144.92
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.66
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+578.5%+$191.93
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Showing 25 of 334 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$24.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$44.29
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$19.66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$30.63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.56
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.28
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+270.4%+$243.33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$141.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$66.1
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$40.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+334%+$63.47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.5%+$33.49
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+59.1%+$67.92
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$50.22
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+122.7%+$122.66
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will US Lecce vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Pisa SC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Algeria vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+203%+$60.91
Will Nigeria vs. Mozambique end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$95
Will Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+74.1%+$51.85
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Uganda vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+73.1%+$95.05
Will Tanzania vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+270.4%+$40.56
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Zimbabwe vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$68.72
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Angola vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+203%+$64.97
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$104.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$78.15
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+57.5%+$92.07
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 5 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.