Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce34f89d98bc3494c7cf9fdd0a4921955bfe1f33ed5d31ede11ba406516e1458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 10c | 8,271$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.35 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 14c | 8,028$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 7c | 3,929$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 10c | 1,822$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +869.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 12c | 1,536$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.04 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 1,424$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.01 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 1,380$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 921.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 3c | 799.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed Yes | 6c | 612.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 10c | 580$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 13c | 525.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 6c | 431.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 13c | 348.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Yes | 13c | 296.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 5c | 285.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 11c | 280$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d052backed Yes | 9c | 273.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 10c | 262.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…e114backed Yes | 6c | 237.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 7c | 225$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…bd4dbacked Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Yes | 8c | 199.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8039…ac9ebacked Yes | 14c | 174.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 7c | 163.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 111.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…d882backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.