Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a34f24a6cb2617e20c38acd77f448697839e41b3086acbd90c6ad6d2077ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $574,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 15c | 34,783$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.58 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 14c | 23,846$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.66 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 13c | 20,700$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 13c | 20,078$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.91 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 16c | 16,772$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.37 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 14,619$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.87 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 16c | 12,502$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.41 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…679bbacked Yes | 75c | 12,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 7c | 10,938$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.01 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 14c | 10,359$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.62 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 13c | 10,062$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed No | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 9,599$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 15c | 8,988$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.37 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed No | 8c | 7,412$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 13c | 7,073$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 16c | 4,782$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 12c | 3,338$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 15c | 3,050$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 13c | 2,828$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 2,410$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.66 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 13c | 1,900$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 16c | 1,851$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 13c | 1,822$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +869.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 12c | 1,802$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.18 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 16c | 1,683$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.25 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 4c | 1,314$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 16c | 1,266$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 15c | 1,093$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 15c | 1,085$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 17c | 999.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 79c | 872.83$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 19c | 788.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 14c | 667.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed No | 8c | 611.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 13c | 500.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 14c | 479$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 14c | 420$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 76c | 388.16$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed No | 12c | 341.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 13c | 303.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 16c | 299.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 9c | 273$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 14c | 268.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 13c | 263$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 15c | 254.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 16c | 237.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 16c | 230.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 13c | 226.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 12c | 190.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…e114backed No | 17c | 160.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704f…b859backed No | 15c | 154.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 13c | 138$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 13c | 137.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 14c | 119.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8039…ac9ebacked No | 19c | 107.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed No | 13c | 92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed No | 13c | 92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 16c | 85.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 14c | 81.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 16c | 76.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.