TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8e1…e114

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 73 out of 100 (+0.20 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 73 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2969%20 W · 9 L+11.0wins+0.38per pick31cpaid+136.4%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$95.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$81.51
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$194.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$133.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+426.3%+$213.13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+376.2%+$188.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+316.7%+$252.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+227.5%+$226.97
Will Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.91
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$59.79
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+275.8%+$170.02
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+59.2%+$48.06
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+143.9%+$57.43
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.1
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+376.2%+$150.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$39.01
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+180.9%+$45.23
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$119.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+171%+$107.53
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.81
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+227.6%+$91
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+401%+$120.31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$39.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$39.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34.93
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.91
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42.21
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60.69
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48.28
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.07
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+298.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+697.4%+$414.76
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+180.8%+$82.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$49.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$34.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.