Champions League · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d7f69428530284e2f164e26dd230a8bfdb729d506442879b65d6b80863e814e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 14,064$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.32 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 74c | 9,500$7,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 6,266$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.23 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 6,128$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.72 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Yes | 10c | 4,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,079$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.09 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 3,890$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.56 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 2,931$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.73 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 2,488$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c4…6c7bbacked No | 78c | 2,371$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…d421backed Yes | 31c | 2,225$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 23c | 1,900$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…a817backed No | 77c | 1,602$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 1,436$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.92 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 23c | 1,422$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0668…390fbacked No | 78c | 1,240$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 8c | 1,140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…902cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,111$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 1,052$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 78c | 1,025$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fd…4b26backed Yes | 20c | 1,025$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…a9edbacked Yes | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 23c | 870$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…2b46backed Yes | 23c | 850$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 771.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f92…5d69backed No | 77c | 738.57$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 7c | 699.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 15c | 664.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 586.27$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…fc04backed No | 78c | 568.94$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Yes | 23c | 557.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 22c | 550$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 540.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…dd22backed Yes | 26c | 472.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 23c | 430$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…be97backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…4363backed Yes | 24c | 416.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 24c | 410$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Yes | 8c | 399.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 6c | 386.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 13c | 385$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…981fbacked Yes | 20c | 380.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…6080backed Yes | 22c | 365$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Yes | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 30c | 344.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Yes | 15c | 322.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 16c | 314.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…d5a0backed No | 77c | 303.73$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 287.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 5c | 260$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 9c | 257.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 9c | 248.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 24c | 246.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 78c | 244.44$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 15c | 238.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 20c | 235.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Yes | 24c | 229.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 9c | 225.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed Yes | 23c | 220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 210.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 79c | 209$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 18c | 208.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 26c | 207$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…e574backed Yes | 23c | 205.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Yes | 7c | 202.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…7830backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa006…0653backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…56d8backed Yes | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6fedbacked Yes | 20c | 199.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 197$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 7c | 187.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 17c | 181.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…9e56backed Yes | 26c | 179.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 77c | 178.74$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…dce3backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 76c | 173$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…b36dbacked Yes | 11c | 171.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 170.83$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.