TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96a7…a2f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST3627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$191
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$79.72
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+354.5%+$97.5
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$133.64
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$95.64
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$112.05
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.54
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$52.85
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102.77
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+185.7%+$186.62
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$102.95
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.45
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+83.2%+$170.6
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+302.8%+$166.53
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Set Handicap: Shelton (-2.5) vs Ruud (+2.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$27.91
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$848.15
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaurbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+267.9%+$217.91
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$79.21
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$242
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$102
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$72
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$122.41
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 19 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+152.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$749
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+809.1%+$210.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.