Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaefc1a9a17a4139fd5a2672848808902ccc603e2376bc368cb9facdb5f5f5cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd928…7adebacked Real Madrid | 65c | 3,844$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monaco | 36c | 2,433$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.49 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Real Madrid | 63c | 2,239$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Monaco | 27c | 1,854$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.6 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Real Madrid | 64c | 1,740$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.53 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Monaco | 2c | 1,203$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monaco | 2c | 1,112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Monaco | 36c | 949.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 37c | 821.24$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.87 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed Monaco | 38c | 796.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Monaco | 36c | 582.69$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Monaco | 37c | 539.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Monaco | 38c | 531.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Monaco | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Real Madrid | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Monaco | 26c | 440$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Real Madrid | 67c | 370.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Monaco | 35c | 312$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Monaco | 23c | 279$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Real Madrid | 62c | 221$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Monaco | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Real Madrid | 60c | 199$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Monaco | 35c | 171.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Real Madrid | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Real Madrid | 63c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Real Madrid | 66c | 148$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Real Madrid | 62c | 113.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Monaco | 20c | 108.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Monaco | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Real Madrid | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Real Madrid | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Monaco | 35c | 79.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Monaco | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…0d44backed Monaco | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Monaco | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Monaco | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Monaco | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Monaco | 34c | 46.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Monaco | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Monaco | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Real Madrid | 64c | 40.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Monaco | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Monaco | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Monaco | 39c | 39.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Monaco | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Monaco | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Monaco | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Monaco | 36c | 32.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Monaco | 31c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Monaco | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Monaco | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Real Madrid | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Real Madrid | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Real Madrid | 64c | 21.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Real Madrid | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Real Madrid | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.