TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x624b…6190

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+231.5%+$233.86
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$176
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+222.6%+$282.68
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$63
Will Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Will Millwall FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Will Derby County FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+212.6%+$376.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45.34
James Madison Dukes vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (W)backed James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$163
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Denver Pioneersbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.51
North Dakota State Bison vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Piratesbacked Hampton Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Binghamton Bearcats vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins (W)backed Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Stetson Hatters vs. Lipscomb Bisonsbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$77.05
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$66.99
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6
Pepperdine Waves vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+2,033.8%+$2,319.91
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+129.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+119.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$146.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+254.1%+$259.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+95.2%+$79.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.