Stocks · resolved market
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080fc9de8f7fc8431c817ea2e6425eee909b9a5d395bfb2a08e8d394e64587e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 17c | 4,092$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.95 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 63c | 4,037$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.55 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ec…c239backed Yes | 39c | 2,308$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 2,158$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed Yes | 39c | 1,910$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…ba96backed Yes | 7c | 1,148$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 41c | 863.48$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.24 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 74c | 720$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 41c | 717.96$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9af6backed Yes | 2c | 713$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 29c | 670.83$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 32c | 646.47$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.67 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 80c | 420$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…18e3backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 42c | 400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…69babacked No | 56c | 392.72$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 45c | 391.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 348.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 329.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 40c | 304.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 293.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494f…00c9backed Yes | 36c | 263$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…c9a5backed Yes | 36c | 262$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 16c | 257.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…7bdcbacked Yes | 36c | 257$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…3375backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…877dbacked Yes | 36c | 249$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…56acbacked Yes | 36c | 242$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39ba…70cabacked Yes | 36c | 237$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…d89dbacked No | 52c | 230.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked No | 61c | 210$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339e…be97backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…5551backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4a…ae97backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 183.1$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…120ebacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 64c | 157.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed No | 69c | 148.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 68c | 146.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 61c | 135.55$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…3f18backed Yes | 23c | 134$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…27debacked Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 39c | 129.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Yes | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 51c | 115.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 42c | 110.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…f553backed Yes | 35c | 106.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 11c | 105.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…9e91backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 100.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…b9d1backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…ca09backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…b4f1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…e455backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…264ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…1845backed No | 64c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac08…7a52backed No | 64c | 98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…7e47backed No | 64c | 98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…1961backed No | 64c | 97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 39c | 94.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…61abbacked No | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f4…64c0backed No | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…9f61backed No | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…2239backed No | 64c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa716…fb34backed No | 64c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…69f3backed No | 64c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…45e6backed Yes | 36c | 92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…ba2ebacked No | 64c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…d22abacked No | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…d3f5backed No | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…a48fbacked No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…b372backed No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…16b4backed No | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…0279backed No | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…5739backed No | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fde…ec96backed No | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed No | 75c | 84.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 84.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…b263backed No | 79c | 76.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…d8fcbacked Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…c380backed Yes | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…ce2ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 72c | 52.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 20c | 50.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…6eb3backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 40c | 29.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?this page
- Will Tesla dip to $293 in February?No won
- Will Tesla dip to $330 in February?No won
- Will Tesla dip to $360 in February?No won
- Will Tesla dip to $405 in February?Yes won
- Will Tesla reach $450 in February?No won
- Will Tesla reach $465 in February?No won
- Will Tesla reach $480 in February?No won
- Will Tesla reach $503 in February?No won
- Will Tesla reach $533 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.