TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc934…5551

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst Stocks at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST258%2 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+1,288.9%+$464
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$46.5
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$74.25
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+536.4%+$295
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$73.34
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$106.5
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Trump declares a national emergency by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$46
All 25 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$7.68
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+403%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+3,650%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+7,400%+$5,920
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+1,150%+$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+425%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+425%+$263.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+222.6%+$25.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$47.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.