Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1431506dbd7f420e1eff2acf4ee55a29812cdbcb70d69d7f7c2623ccc411cd21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 70c | 16,431$11,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.48 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 12,239$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.07 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b698backed No | 0c | 10,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 19c | 10,488$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.59 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…c96bbacked No | 2c | 8,808$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 10c | 8,405$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 4c | 4,451$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,165$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 2,979$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,885$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.36 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d87…4f67backed No | 8c | 2,717$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed No | 2c | 2,287$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 1,973$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8d…5582backed No | 2c | 1,959$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 76c | 1,696$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a4…1f80backed No | 3c | 1,690$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 3c | 1,679$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6d97backed No | 3c | 1,557$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…f383backed No | 1c | 1,480$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7370…c1abbacked No | 2c | 1,361$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 3c | 1,322$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 3c | 1,309$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 12c | 1,304$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81c…fb1cbacked No | 19c | 1,298$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9525…d823backed No | 5c | 1,253$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 1,232$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 78c | 1,193$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…82c8backed No | 5c | 1,150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 4c | 1,100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…8ea4backed No | 4c | 1,087$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 8c | 1,058$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…6fa8backed No | 27c | 1,040$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 18c | 1,028$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 1,013$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…e122backed No | 4c | 1,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 75c | 991.5$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.37 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…c7f6backed No | 3c | 966.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked No | 7c | 937.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ab…d1a2backed No | 24c | 931.78$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 919.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…675ebacked No | 25c | 916$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 10c | 904.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 3c | 866.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 77c | 848$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 77c | 848$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.96 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 77c | 848$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…8f8fbacked No | 6c | 847.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 19c | 842$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…ff56backed No | 3c | 836.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fff…a496backed No | 1c | 834.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…7677backed No | 3c | 815$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 803.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ea…1f05backed No | 18c | 704.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…5551backed No | 15c | 688.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 2c | 635.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…398ebacked No | 19c | 599.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed No | 25c | 558.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d9…150cbacked No | 4c | 555.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…9469backed No | 4c | 544.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5853…144dbacked No | 2c | 529.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 4c | 529.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512d…c94bbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…75dcbacked Yes | 21c | 485.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +385.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked No | 26c | 478.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…3d33backed No | 2c | 478.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 49c | 464.78$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…d4a9backed No | 17c | 450$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…b79fbacked No | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 17c | 449.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 448.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b87…2540backed No | 3c | 383.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed Yes | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…c307backed No | 14c | 340$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 7c | 339.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 19c | 303.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…c3d0backed No | 78c | 290$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 23c | 275.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 14c | 268.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…8887backed No | 6c | 260.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 23c | 250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab4…e073backed No | 13c | 223.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…4ec0backed Yes | 46c | 219.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…2766backed No | 6c | 202.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 80c | 200$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…d7a0backed No | 6c | 189.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 51c | 186.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 48c | 184$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 79c | 158.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…4668backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…668ebacked No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked Yes | 72c | 137.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 8c | 135$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 19c | 119.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 79c | 118.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…6afabacked No | 9c | 116.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 74c | 113.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.