TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbba8…f383

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-89.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.67
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.15
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26.89
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65.72
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11.57
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$18.58
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.66
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37.51
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$85.85
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$26.21
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-86.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.53
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$6.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick7cpaid+189.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+2,902.1%+$313.71
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.97
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.29
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$63.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+102.9%+$106.99
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.7%+$35.76
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$50.47
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$42.23
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+143.9%+$133.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-55.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+148.5%+$75.41
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$46.45
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-70.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick2cpaid+1,235.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-57.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$40.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir dip to $162 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.