Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f21338ba1400e55328eedf17454a274dd227cde9299d9fcf015df0f2dbf1ced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $732,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 1c | 40,867$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Yes | 1c | 40,156$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 4c | 37,700$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.2 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 30,078$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 26,153$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.78 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…53f2backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 7c | 15,394$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.58 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 12,366$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.17 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 5c | 11,450$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.95 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 6,185$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 3c | 5,686$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Yes | 4c | 5,508$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…ee6cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,217$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…21a9backed Yes | 1c | 5,105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…d336backed Yes | 4c | 4,638$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 10c | 4,610$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.57 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…e1ffbacked Yes | 0c | 4,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 3c | 4,171$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 3c | 4,066$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…8f35backed Yes | 7c | 3,975$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 10c | 3,835$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.53 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 4c | 3,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,449$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 3,365$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 3c | 3,317$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed Yes | 6c | 3,106$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 4c | 3,102$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb1…fa88backed Yes | 1c | 2,635$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 4c | 2,625$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Yes | 3c | 2,550$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…97a4backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 4c | 2,391$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,321$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 3c | 2,228$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6fc8backed Yes | 5c | 2,220$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e886backed Yes | 1c | 2,134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…af09backed Yes | 8c | 1,862$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +214%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,848$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d42…419cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,820$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…57e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 1c | 1,645$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,414$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…29ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,377$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…fddebacked Yes | 7c | 1,300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…f73abacked Yes | 8c | 1,292$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…1e52backed Yes | 3c | 1,276$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…e6f7backed Yes | 8c | 1,249$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…3ceabacked Yes | 7c | 1,108$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…0606backed Yes | 1c | 1,081$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,015$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…8d70backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…e626backed Yes | 2c | 909.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…7547backed Yes | 6c | 889.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 747.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked Yes | 7c | 699.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…7bbbbacked Yes | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 8c | 641.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…f383backed Yes | 2c | 611.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…68fdbacked Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 571.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…959bbacked Yes | 7c | 560.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 9c | 549.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed Yes | 4c | 530$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 2c | 519.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Yes | 4c | 502.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…e3bcbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…f266backed Yes | 6c | 496.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1035…20dbbacked Yes | 4c | 474.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…5d18backed Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1163backed Yes | 5c | 441.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 436.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…2cc1backed Yes | 3c | 410$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…7dbdbacked Yes | 4c | 385.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 5c | 384.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…b99ebacked Yes | 6c | 350.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…8b27backed Yes | 8c | 347.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…5a75backed Yes | 6c | 338.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc43…1c86backed Yes | 4c | 327.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…81a1backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 10c | 254$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 8c | 245.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…dab2backed Yes | 9c | 244.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes | 4c | 239.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +211%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 6c | 238.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +4,034.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…aa38backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +1,254.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…2f28backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…1cc1backed Yes | 6c | 185.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…6276backed Yes | 21c | 182.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702f…dd56backed Yes | 11c | 178.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…0568backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.