Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2627b040596d0da6702bac3368c5ffa5801e2f21c5c488f66f712079f66b32ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,573,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,438,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,573,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 6c | 86,835$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 4c | 80,007$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.94 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 2c | 76,653$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.28 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 6c | 57,662$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.54 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 4c | 39,244$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 5c | 37,103$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.26 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…3eafbacked Yes | 5c | 33,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 6c | 30,225$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 25,412$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 23,274$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…aac2backed Yes | 1c | 21,273$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 18,163$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.04 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 3c | 18,025$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.57 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 17,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf2…15bbbacked Yes | 4c | 14,820$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…d327backed Yes | 6c | 13,225$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 18cpaid | +243.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…df43backed Yes | 3c | 12,000$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…64a5backed Yes | 4c | 11,971$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 2c | 11,826$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 13c | 11,805$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.82 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…81fabacked Yes | 3c | 11,583$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…7bdabacked Yes | 2c | 10,417$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,488.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 2c | 10,258$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…d639backed Yes | 3c | 9,793$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 3c | 7,949$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…6dd0backed Yes | 8c | 7,843$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…5a75backed Yes | 4c | 7,737$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 7,395$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 3c | 7,299$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.64 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 3c | 7,096$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…fddebacked Yes | 6c | 6,185$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,178$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…cb1ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,580$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 7c | 5,347$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.81 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…f948backed Yes | 3c | 5,270$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…0464backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…640bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 3c | 4,709$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 2c | 4,361$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,224$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…13a2backed Yes | 7c | 4,020$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 4c | 3,800$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…69fbbacked Yes | 4c | 3,537$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…134dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,418$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 3c | 3,297$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,171$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…9138backed Yes | 2c | 2,987$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,985$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 4c | 2,847$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa339…92b6backed Yes | 4c | 2,804$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,778$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 4c | 2,613$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,558$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…9571backed Yes | 5c | 2,486$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…f419backed Yes | 5c | 2,467$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,429$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 4c | 2,285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 8c | 2,270$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 2c | 2,122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…2530backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…d5aebacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…c6c6backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf53…5e8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…924ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,950$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 3c | 1,906$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…f807backed Yes | 1c | 1,906$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…7a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…e626backed Yes | 3c | 1,841$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…f105backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…35f0backed Yes | 9c | 1,799$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,774$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 2c | 1,744$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,739$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…6d8bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,725$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c41…eeb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…7b54backed Yes | 7c | 1,627$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…ba61backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26de…2db3backed Yes | 7c | 1,569$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,550$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…da5bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,442$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…6f54backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…bb27backed Yes | 7c | 1,362$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…4744backed Yes | 1c | 1,350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 8c | 1,300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8bc8backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 1,291$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,273$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 4c | 1,161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…6c5dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,050$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…9de3backed Yes | 7c | 1,048$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…f584backed Yes | 2c | 1,041$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…c103backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 959.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.