TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7152…faac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT940%0 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.89
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.32
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%0 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.02
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.69
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.33
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$147.2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50.39
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.78
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$390.9
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$106.24
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$52.49
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$101.57
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.03
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.6
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Other be the most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.47
All 25 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.31
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.