AI · resolved market
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf610a4fdc73a619e3d72530a8d173d7f8dbeb258da9e8fcd869eb7ce32b1a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,481,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,301,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,481,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 145,435$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.41 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 115,657$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…3331backed Yes | 2c | 40,397$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 3c | 38,632$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.71 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 35,899$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.11 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 29,871$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 22,283$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.35 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 19,712$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.23 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 2c | 15,118$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…2cfbbacked Yes | 2c | 14,078$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.41 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 12,587$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 12,283$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…c74abacked Yes | 2c | 11,943$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.47 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…2070backed Yes | 1c | 10,974$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…e174backed Yes | 2c | 9,711$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 9,556$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 9,408$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…a397backed Yes | 2c | 9,268$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 2c | 8,837$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.78 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 8,457$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.32 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x728b…fd3ebacked Yes | 3c | 8,398$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.94 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…81bfbacked Yes | 2c | 8,113$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…2a82backed Yes | 1c | 7,635$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…6d47backed Yes | 2c | 7,300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…9c73backed Yes | 3c | 7,141$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252a…3e34backed Yes | 2c | 7,069$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,066$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…9554backed Yes | 2c | 6,024$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,960$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…8019backed Yes | 2c | 5,917$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55e…27e3backed Yes | 3c | 5,456$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 2c | 5,192$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 5,161$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,786$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 1c | 4,627$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,558$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 4,500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd1…870ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 4,354$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…81e2backed Yes | 3c | 4,330$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 4,282$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,907$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…0634backed Yes | 1c | 3,749$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…320fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,672$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 3,612$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…2af7backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…d803backed Yes | 2c | 3,400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…366bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,359$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…2aeebacked Yes | 3c | 3,318$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560f…5af7backed Yes | 3c | 3,292$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +274.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 3,235$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa3…a2c4backed Yes | 3c | 3,216$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…6f93backed Yes | 1c | 3,074$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…7048backed Yes | 3c | 2,985$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb7…f680backed Yes | 2c | 2,971$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 2c | 2,955$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 2,905$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…050abacked Yes | 0c | 2,851$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,832$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…b693backed Yes | 2c | 2,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…b575backed Yes | 4c | 2,779$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,700$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,574$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…445cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,474$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,453$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4be…c827backed Yes | 2c | 2,416$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…5344backed Yes | 1c | 2,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…c300backed Yes | 3c | 2,400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…a976backed Yes | 2c | 2,376$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…e4efbacked Yes | 3c | 2,210$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…444dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,209$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…80cebacked Yes | 2c | 2,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 2,113$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 2c | 2,030$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…a38dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,021$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 2c | 2,012$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…05f5backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…5271backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 1,999$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,945$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 2c | 1,882$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a6…8651backed Yes | 1c | 1,783$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…04fabacked Yes | 2c | 1,777$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c2…7d11backed Yes | 3c | 1,758$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…9663backed Yes | 5c | 1,738$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…84eebacked Yes | 1c | 1,718$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 1c | 1,631$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f5…2e79backed Yes | 4c | 1,587$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbf…b0eebacked Yes | 3c | 1,554$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 1,521$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb53…edd1backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…c561backed Yes | 1c | 1,479$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,370$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,285$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.