TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a9c…2aee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5529.1%16 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+507%+$532.28
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$696.8
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.5
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.93
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$134.62
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$970.91
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+83%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anthropic CEO arrested?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+1,640.5%+$913.58
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will a U.S. government shutdown be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$105.64
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+127.4%+$43.24
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.29
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,715.07
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.