Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a01f6522bb53657564b8934bd946e7cfcef0c4188f2f7311d8a00f3d042ab9f

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $619,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $409,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $619,501 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	14c	20,691$2,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,956.41	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	17c	17,357$3,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,002.84	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	4c	15,367$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.81	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	7c	13,015$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.58	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	11,735$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.86	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	10,842$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.45	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	8c	10,737$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.24	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	6c	10,500$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	9,741$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.35	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	12c	9,170$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111.34	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	14c	8,118$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164.93	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	13c	7,402$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.32	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	0c	7,259$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	12c	6,481$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.51	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	11c	6,172$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.65	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	18c	5,987$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.69	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	5,823$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.99	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	9c	5,317$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.13	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	18c	5,153$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	5,126$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.29	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	3c	5,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	1c	5,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.1	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc831…0111backed Yes	8c	4,693$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.49	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	4,680$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.43	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	14c	4,578$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.65	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	6c	4,500$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.52	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	22c	4,242$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.36	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	2c	4,184$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.57	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	12c	4,184$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.76	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	11c	4,141$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.96	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	4,000$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.75	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	4c	3,331$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.21	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	3,019$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.52	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed No	79c	3,000$2,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.45	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	3,000$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,997$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.19	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	20c	2,971$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.6	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	2,932$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.93	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	22c	2,748$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.81	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	8c	2,592$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.23	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	15c	2,381$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.89	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	3c	2,380$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.21	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	12c	2,311$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.93	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	5c	2,300$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.94	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x636b…615bbacked Yes	5c	2,257$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.07	167	29.9%50 W · 117 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3353…c35abacked Yes	1c	2,199$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	29c	2,129$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.42	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	20c	2,099$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.53	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	15c	2,026$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.14	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfae…9dedbacked Yes	18c	1,946$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9514…9017backed Yes	1c	1,937$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	10c	1,916$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	11c	1,894$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.15	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	21c	1,871$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.98	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	14c	1,769$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	11c	1,737$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.86	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	7c	1,723$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.07	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	11c	1,723$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.76	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021f…4ec7backed Yes	28c	1,647$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.53	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	3c	1,645$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	1,595$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.6	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes	2c	1,592$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	182	18.7%34 W · 148 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	1,580$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.66	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	5c	1,540$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.91	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d87…4f67backed Yes	13c	1,535$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	10c	1,500$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.93	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed Yes	4c	1,461$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.68	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	9c	1,406$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.28	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	9c	1,384$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.78	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b6…554ebacked Yes	27c	1,383$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.18	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	13c	1,346$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.43	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	2c	1,311$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.81	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	16c	1,219$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.47	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	17c	1,193$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	16c	1,190$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.3	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	6c	1,187$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.93	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	15c	1,175$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.66	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe850…ad70backed Yes	19c	1,105$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	2c	1,064$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	17c	1,053$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.16	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	9c	1,052$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.78	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes	2c	1,045$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeed…2453backed Yes	3c	1,017$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2785…2dddbacked Yes	27c	1,000$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.32	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	5c	984.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.06	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	8c	952.84$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.89	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	11c	945.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	9c	939.79$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.67	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd20…c958backed Yes	19c	937.83$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.54	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	934.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	15c	929.03$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.84	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	33c	916.15$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	906.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	33c	902.25$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.85	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	13c	901.42$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.48	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…77bdbacked No	77c	882.5$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.57	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254a…bc44backed Yes	9c	875.58$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-5.6wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	19c	867.41$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.85	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	10c	863.97$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.38	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event