Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x934658ab072e9b97b11c59d01543d8587c885fc1826ac2709bb49184e11a21b4

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $278,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,948 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	0c	74,846$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.85	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	14,847$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.33	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	10,100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	7,071$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.85	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	5,587$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.98	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	5,027$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.9	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	2c	4,333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	5c	4,203$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.3	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	14c	3,810$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.28	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	3,795$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.64	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	12c	2,656$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.67	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	2,608$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.45	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	2c	2,556$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	1c	2,103$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.88	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	2,000$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.55	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	14c	1,851$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.2	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	6c	1,810$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.58	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78fe…2183backed Yes	2c	1,740$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	2c	1,666$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.52	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,621$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.03	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	5c	1,594$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.89	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	1,441$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,369$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	1c	1,300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	9c	1,282$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.35	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d87…4f67backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	1,058$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.63	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf48…136dbacked Yes	10c	1,047$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.71	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	4c	1,009$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.36	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	14c	1,000$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.21	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	941.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	892.45$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.03	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	10c	875.66$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.82	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	12c	833.33$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.32	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	8c	803.51$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.32	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	796.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	13c	745.44$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.58	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	7c	707.14$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	700$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	2c	657.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f0…469cbacked Yes	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5e…ccdcbacked Yes	9c	561.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	10c	525.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.6	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	3c	518.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b9…0d39backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	108	20.4%22 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d5…46f4backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…486cbacked Yes	12c	500$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…6bc6backed Yes	16c	496.72$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf568…11d4backed Yes	7c	486.39$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	8c	465.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.24	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	9c	446$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.39	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Yes	8c	439.81$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	13c	432$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af8…a57cbacked Yes	3c	414.03$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	14c	408$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.08	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb015…42c3backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	390$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	9c	378$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.02	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf4…0af7backed Yes	11c	370$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	16c	337.82$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.72	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6e…a1ebbacked Yes	12c	308.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0a…ec90backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8268…6146backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+318.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	9c	292.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	9c	259$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.13	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	8c	256.62$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d32…b3c5backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	88	19.3%17 W · 71 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x193a…35c0backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	95	5.3%5 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	11c	238.28$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f05…ba7bbacked Yes	18c	224.38$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	15c	220$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f5e…343cbacked Yes	9c	211.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	8c	210.35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.14	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	6c	210$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…d78bbacked Yes	15c	208$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.85	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb1…c601backed Yes	7c	207.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	7c	206.34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	6c	204.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd65e…814ebacked Yes	8c	202.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…ec01backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+107.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49a5…a67cbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…318fbacked Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	111	14.4%16 W · 95 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…5aebbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce3…1f93backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53fb…e92abacked Yes	8c	199.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04f6…311abacked Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	25%4 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	12c	190.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.76	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	8c	185$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d1…d864backed Yes	6c	183.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	18cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bc…e100backed Yes	11c	176.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event