Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb9e49c426676d7b2c9986f3f7c495f46ce7ff76d2f5178ad9d54a2be710f6f6

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $708,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $439,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	1c	44,174$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.38	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	0c	40,767$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.77	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	21,087$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.21	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	0c	17,613$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	12,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	11,636$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.81	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	11,258$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.5	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…cfdcbacked Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	0c	8,440$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	8,017$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.23	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	1c	8,001$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.92	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	0c	6,308$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.95	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	6c	6,155$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.75	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	6,049$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.04	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	0c	5,657$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	0c	5,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	5,292$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	5,030$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.83	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	4,500$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.77	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	12c	4,320$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.73	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	0c	4,100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	1c	3,929$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.79	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	3,655$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.22	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	3,300$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	4c	2,956$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.85	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	15c	2,775$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.89	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	2,575$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.02	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	2,437$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.04	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	14c	2,376$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.68	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	1c	2,300$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	2c	2,250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	10c	2,083$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.4	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	9c	2,059$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.74	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	2,049$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f61…2680backed Yes	16c	2,041$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.87	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	4c	2,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	12c	1,996$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.32	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	12c	1,901$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.09	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	4c	1,700$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.7	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	4c	1,503$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.05	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	1,449$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.34	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	16c	1,426$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.11	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529d…6b2cbacked Yes	2c	1,337$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	1,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	1c	1,111$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	1,100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.3	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf48…136dbacked Yes	9c	1,057$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.1	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	2c	1,056$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	14c	1,054$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	10c	1,024$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.66	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	4c	999.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	10c	962.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	911.3$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.71	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	9c	758.45$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.26	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3359…683bbacked Yes	3c	720$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	713.61$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.38	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	700$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.8	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	12c	684.73$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.67	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	2c	663.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	13c	649.74$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.41	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	17c	647.19$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.99	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	16c	613.74$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.2	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	13c	600$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	3c	578.37$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	2c	512.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	8c	499.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x636b…615bbacked Yes	3c	483.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	167	29.9%50 W · 117 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	10c	473.43$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	453.62$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	9c	444.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	9c	444.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	6c	420.27$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…1ac1backed Yes	3c	404.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	17cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53fb…e92abacked Yes	10c	400$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48a3…bfecbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d5…46f4backed Yes	14c	370.73$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.9	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	15c	370$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.8	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	15c	340$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x526d…3d46backed Yes	4c	336.25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	17c	320$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x366c…ec01backed Yes	14c	314.66$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.49	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+107.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	10c	314.04$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3333…6bc6backed Yes	17c	312.65$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.15	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	7c	307.63$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.53	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	15c	303.24$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.49	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bc…8613backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	13c	299.74$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.68	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Yes	14c	285.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	11c	280$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e43…b356backed Yes	5c	270$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	178	18.5%33 W · 145 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	10c	266.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.54	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	5c	265.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	13c	262.5$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event