Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c0e83fa9becafa381bba2cfc74bb9aec10abb7da1d50d58181ac0f098caf47

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $164,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,071 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	26,070$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.54	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	18,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	0c	10,529$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	7,043$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.89	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	5,920$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.13	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	1c	5,727$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.91	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	1c	4,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	3,218$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.55	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	0c	2,487$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	7c	1,800$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	2c	1,476$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.55	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	1,026$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.62	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e8…c488backed Yes	11c	883.05$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.18	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	877.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	806.9$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.09	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	2c	650$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	4c	621.52$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	2c	594$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	6c	400$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…486cbacked Yes	6c	400$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a3…bfecbacked Yes	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8268…6146backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+318.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	5c	267.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	4c	256.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0a…ec90backed Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6e…a1ebbacked Yes	9c	244.44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…d78bbacked Yes	6c	208$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4577…1b15backed Yes	7c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x812b…8facbacked Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event