Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ec638191dfc672211a03dda500672f53c867fbe8cc4f31c9be67b6d33ed8079

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $747,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $681,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,095 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf2f2…1762backed No	1c	38,968$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.28	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	29c	10,751$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,600.32	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f8…ed3ebacked No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	36c	9,871$3,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,317.68	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	9,206$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,715.28	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	31c	8,812$2,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,746.45	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	13c	8,808$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,644.54	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	22c	8,434$1,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,606.1	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	29c	7,048$2,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,005.39	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	19c	6,614$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,373.66	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	20c	6,534$1,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,198.69	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	80c	5,909$4,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,708.4	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	29c	5,654$1,655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,998.63	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	12c	5,187$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,551.89	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	12c	4,855$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,271.54	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed Yes	16c	4,840$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,082.83	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	13c	4,658$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,059.8	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	19c	4,401$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,561.31	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	57c	4,237$2,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,803.11	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	46c	4,228$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,266.55	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	14c	4,204$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,631.55	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	55c	3,993$2,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,213.16	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	7c	3,856$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.55	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	14c	3,791$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.98	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	10c	3,700$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,313.28	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	22c	3,675$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,878.93	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	3,594$2,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,612.95	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	28c	3,495$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,526.28	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	36c	3,313$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.06	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	56c	3,291$1,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,447.69	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	15c	3,269$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,781.31	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d06…b2eabacked Yes	74c	3,174$2,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.47	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	22c	3,105$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,426.68	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	6c	3,062$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.09	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	24c	3,000$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,277.5	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	22c	2,996$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,346.12	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	50c	2,986$1,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,494.63	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	28c	2,769$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,986.99	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	73c	2,673$1,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.95	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	10c	2,642$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,373.92	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	9c	2,539$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,299.58	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	39c	2,526$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,549.7	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	7c	2,373$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,214.53	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	19c	2,373$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,912.2	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	71c	2,357$1,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.23	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f4…1408backed Yes	24c	2,350$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,789.85	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	54c	2,259$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.23	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	2,210$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,842.68	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	14c	2,209$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.99	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	28c	2,173$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.89	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	11c	2,150$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,912.26	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	71c	2,132$1,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.01	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	19c	2,070$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,677.96	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Yes	10c	2,037$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,834.1	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+57%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No	37c	2,028$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.51	100	52%52 W · 48 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	32c	2,000$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.52	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	16c	2,000$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,688.64	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	4c	2,000$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,929.99	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	77c	2,000$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,544.48	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed No	1c	1,950$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	34c	1,814$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.52	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	20c	1,704$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.07	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	36c	1,702$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,089.97	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	20c	1,690$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.76	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	78c	1,665$1,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.23	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	34c	1,641$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.74	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	23c	1,640$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.69	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	31c	1,625$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,117.31	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	77c	1,576$1,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.7	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b9…f10cbacked Yes	39c	1,541$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	4c	1,535$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,473.18	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	26c	1,476$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.72	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	72c	1,449$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.64	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	8c	1,445$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,324.86	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	42c	1,437$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.59	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No	7c	1,425$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.28	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	25c	1,408$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.32	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	13c	1,382$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,198.63	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	23c	1,356$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.14	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	38c	1,313$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.54	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	38c	1,310$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.25	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	43c	1,305$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.54	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b5…4c12backed No	10c	1,295$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	36c	1,290$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.46	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	9c	1,266$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,146.35	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	40c	1,252$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.18	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	28c	1,252$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.85	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b8…1305backed Yes	17c	1,250$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,042.6	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	1,235$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.18	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No	16c	1,225$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.84	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	59c	1,205$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.34	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	77c	1,200$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.9	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	30c	1,192$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837.81	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	42c	1,175$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.13	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe178…0c26backed Yes	3c	1,171$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.21	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	11c	1,108$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.07	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986d…b351backed Yes	43c	1,093$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.91	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fec…8136backed Yes	26c	1,087$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	31c	1,077$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.4	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	38c	1,073$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.68	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event