TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa7e…0332

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
764
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT53514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 535 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.13
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.37
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.27
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$220
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 535 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1515.3%8 W · 143 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid+227.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+43,492.8%+$4,626.31
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.45
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.87
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3417.6%6 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+246.5%+$160.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.05
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$317.15
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-75.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.17
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.11
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-71.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+198.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.