TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,885 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes30c118,332$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes30c50,064$14,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,850.361136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No73c49,395$35,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,573.135349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No70c36,583$25,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,974.826347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c25,989$18,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,505.2868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes28c20,000$5,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.453860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No72c20,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.994757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c18,474$13,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.6698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No71c15,750$11,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,567.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes27c15,628$4,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.512731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No70c12,497$8,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.0716838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c8,264$5,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No72c8,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2409952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No70c7,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c6,542$4,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.892,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c5,977$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.6393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes27c3,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.816659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No70c3,333$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.97444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes29c3,102$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.554837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked No73c2,739$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c2,486$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.1540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c2,372$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.6352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes12c2,081$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6216032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Yes29c1,725$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes29c1,700$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4610940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No75c1,641$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.342360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c1,575$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes29c1,397$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.023754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1145…cfa6backed No73c1,327$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fa…a497backed Yes24c1,266$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No71c1,241$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.893046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes20c1,237$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.711127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes23c1,215$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.184736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c1,140$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.622348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes28c1,117$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.488042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes27c1,088$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.642035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes28c1,084$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes29c1,001$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902634.6%9 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+75.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No74c932.43$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.434553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes22c906.32$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.398334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes13c900$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes28c899.36$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.824858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03fd…83f7backed No74c735.14$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20316251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…07e5backed Yes29c691.79$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Yes28c685.41$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa40b…3418backed Yes12c675$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-75.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No73c633.55$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.065550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No72c623.49$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.581650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c84…9acfbacked Yes24c614.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes27c610.41$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.355632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes24c584.44$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.743237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Yes3c572.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3383…b7debacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes25c567.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes28c537.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes28c535.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes24c533.81$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes29c517.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes12c510$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.629862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f36…1df7backed Yes27c478.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes29c475.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c44…9246backed Yes28c432.96$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd285…ab07backed Yes28c425.12$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11212049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No72c369.82$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.553125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No71c362.74$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5726046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x431e…5079backed Yes28c358.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes28c358.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes28c357.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2678…cef5backed Yes28c354.16$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03a1…8f46backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eaf…01cabacked Yes29c338.11$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes26c333.36$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8713946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f8…a813backed Yes28c332.61$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No71c332.19$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.344136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes6c322$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.541118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes13c318.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc5…55a6backed Yes28c301.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2911…2a0dbacked Yes28c301.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8721445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9025556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.