TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,632 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes30c9,183$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.195933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c7,700$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.6168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No70c6,325$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.233860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c6,109$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.1596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c4,577$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.242,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No69c2,893$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.852766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c2,166$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed No58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c1,364$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.361,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes30c1,253$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3754030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes76c879.99$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.1252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes44c878.32$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.461030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No57c740.1$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x744e…3224backed Yes13c730$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+629.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No45c690.04$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.653237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Yes16c678.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes31c645.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c35…2965backed No70c640.02$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.44875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40c1…3612backed Yes31c605$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fa…a497backed Yes18c564.53$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes15c523.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked No44c503.55$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes30c473$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51a8…610cbacked Yes30c435.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes8c405.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a24…be88backed Yes30c401.81$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52f…8897backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb793…2a18backed Yes30c398.85$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb169…bb17backed Yes30c398.79$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf785…c473backed Yes30c397.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2ea0backed Yes30c395.24$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…39b8backed Yes31c387.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9859…7012backed Yes31c382.42$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+91.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f6f…159ebacked Yes30c378.59$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f64…b131backed Yes31c363.65$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d8…ddf8backed Yes30c356.2$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9225…00eebacked Yes31c352.16$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c343.89$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6a28…c488backed Yes30c325.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes31c323.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x175c…a8c2backed Yes30c314.62$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…bf33backed Yes31c303.33$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.992347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9021445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9026046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No30c279.21$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.847347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes9c273.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f4…5d61backed Yes31c271.26$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes38c267$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.13839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c3…20c8backed Yes31c262.84$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed No60c259.01$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.63250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes30c246.83$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.025028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd212…f0f4backed Yes31c242.72$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d7…0b3fbacked Yes30c234.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes31c219$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.715632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa963…df11backed No71c217.07$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae2…e767backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No27c213.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes45c211.37$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+195.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes20c197.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes31c196.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.841030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No70c195.87$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.633638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c194.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e97…1e35backed No71c186.03$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x423e…06f9backed No70c165.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c161.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes31c161.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6434…fce6backed No71c161.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes29c161$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.693228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.013754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…f862backed No71c157.17$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.63560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc483…64d0backed No71c153.51$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c153.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4326241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Yes13c153$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…b9bebacked No71c150.79$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe209…f457backed No71c148.93$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3b…b309backed No70c148.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dd…8d59backed No71c148.06$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb16…cb20backed No70c146.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes30c144.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcb…492ebacked No71c144.47$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6752…bc58backed No70c142.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x369b…6f7abacked No71c141.74$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c84…9acfbacked Yes35c141.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7533…285ebacked No70c141.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e19…ba6cbacked No71c140.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce9…8732backed No71c140.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda9d…226cbacked Yes31c139$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.01540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e4…9133backed No71c137.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No70c136.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.112382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0126…065cbacked No70c134.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf279…e68fbacked No71c134.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…e06ebacked No71c131.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4b…7126backed No71c129.93$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes21c127.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.791637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No20c126.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.911861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Yes79c125.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.