TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c35…2965

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA: SGA Award Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.77
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.7
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.9
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$78.33
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+36%+$33.33
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$166.86
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.62
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$89.42
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41%+$4.26
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$41.73
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.9
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.72
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.7
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.49
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.64
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$180.8
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$155.55
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.9%+$9.18
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.36
Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$41.25
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Bucks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$66.19
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.16
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.47
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.71
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$18.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64%+$189.31
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.22
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$162.43
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$86.66
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$49.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$73.72
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$83.93
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$82.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$86.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$85.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.05
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$107.2
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$347.01
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.1
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203.7%+$354.37
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$11.19
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$24.33
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+122.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick34cpaid+210.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$854.4
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$694.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+154.2%+$95.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$71.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$37.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.