NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x046c1c0ad8938b771d6063c11a4936668f1871b874d34dff5991bb0fad578fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $608,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 245,513$80,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,950.05 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 67c | 148,478$99,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,400.89 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 112,862$36,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,431 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 68c | 72,226$49,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,110.45 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Lightning | 68c | 25,272$17,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,184.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…7f4abacked Lightning | 68c | 18,929$12,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,871.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lightning | 67c | 16,478$11,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,039.96 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 67c | 15,656$10,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,489.83 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 68c | 14,977$10,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,188.46 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Lightning | 68c | 12,833$8,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,726.31 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 12,534$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.38 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,159.94 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 10,000$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,795.43 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 67c | 8,500$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,731.5 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…2c1bbacked Lightning | 68c | 7,975$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 7,338$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.61 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Lightning | 39c | 7,119$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.24 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 6,837$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.64 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked Lightning | 68c | 6,260$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Lightning | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 67c | 4,949$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Lightning | 68c | 4,687$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.17 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 4,648$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.48 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 67c | 4,508$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.62 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Lightning | 26c | 4,410$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.42 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Lightning | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets | 63c | 3,838$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Lightning | 68c | 3,834$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.12 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 3,620$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.29 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Lightning | 68c | 3,479$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets | 60c | 3,262$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.57 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 68c | 3,212$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.72 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 3,031$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.34 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 3,031$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.21 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Lightning | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lightning | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Blue Jackets | 20c | 2,468$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lightning | 67c | 2,222$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.74 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 2,216$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.74 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 2,200$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Lightning | 68c | 2,185$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Lightning | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Lightning | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…0015backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Blue Jackets | 67c | 1,956$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.66 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 1,819$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.42 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Lightning | 68c | 1,694$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…6947backed Lightning | 68c | 1,565$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lightning | 68c | 1,547$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.58 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lightning | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.69 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blue Jackets | 66c | 1,493$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.79 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Lightning | 38c | 1,444$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.69 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lightning | 68c | 1,442$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.15 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 67c | 1,342$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.88 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 1,300$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.55 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…ee98backed Lightning | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.62 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e8…2525backed Lightning | 68c | 1,015$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lightning | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Lightning | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.07 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.36 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lightning | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 66c | 934.63$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.92 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…168abacked Lightning | 53c | 915.19$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lightning | 69c | 826.66$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.4 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 800.01$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.01 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Lightning | 68c | 800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lightning | 67c | 797.13$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.08 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 771$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.59 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Lightning | 68c | 735.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Lightning | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Lightning | 68c | 734.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Lightning | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Lightning | 69c | 717.17$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.85 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 714.33$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.45 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lightning | 6c | 708$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Lightning | 67c | 700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Blue Jackets | 62c | 674$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.38 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 68c | 616.83$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Lightning | 7c | 608.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 607.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.9 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…5072backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 607.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x667a…2d6bbacked Lightning | 68c | 606.56$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Lightning | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Lightning | 69c | 581.27$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.34 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Lightning | 69c | 577.58$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lightning | 67c | 572.08$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.29 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 66c | 564.69$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.69 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Lightning | 46c | 547.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 547$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.96 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c35…2965backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 528.36$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Blue Jackets | 61c | 522$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 519.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.44 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Lightningthis page
- Blue Jackets vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.