TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f72…0841

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,664.27
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$735.13
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.08
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505.5
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$959.88
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.22
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,775.18
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,196.83
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$724.73
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.74
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$623.09
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$237.53
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,670.53
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$804.36
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$337.88
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+102.2%+$644
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$790
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$582.12
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$450.63
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,904Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$704.26
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$969.25
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$548.45
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+45.1%+$502.38
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,156.51
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$640.69
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT8253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$825
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,497.91
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,243.85
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$215.38
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$739.65
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,485
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$711.94
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$673.02
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$317.99
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$595.1
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$720.31
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.8%+$643.68
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64%+$474.08
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,521.21
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,649Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$579.55
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$480.55
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$427.78
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$432.13
Canadiens vs. Sharksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$605.84
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$491.92
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$493.72
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$702.17
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$491.52
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$668.04
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$605.28
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,433.33
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$713.86
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$605
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,429
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$116.61
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,395.61
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$718.16
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$112.01
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$223.86
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$575
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,055
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,330.64
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$227.81
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$356
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,312.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,340
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$951.36
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$788.01
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$257.12
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$264.94
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,185
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$843
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$505.33
All 5 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$92.47
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$125.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,852.81
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$720.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,726Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$1,322.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$677.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.