WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9d3d8c1776b11fefe786e0d87a552e3929c163d1ba9db367253a9da2a789f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Seattle Storm | 32c | 3,868$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 3,250$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 2,825$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.74 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Seattle Storm | 22c | 2,333$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Storm | 32c | 1,875$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Golden State Valkyries | 70c | 1,670$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 1,421$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries | 71c | 1,383$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.22 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Seattle Storm | 32c | 1,301$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Seattle Storm | 33c | 1,226$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Seattle Storm | 31c | 1,225$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.7 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 1,073$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm | 35c | 1,055$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.73 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Seattle Storm | 31c | 965.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Golden State Valkyries | 69c | 907.25$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 717.63$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 684.46$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 641.93$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Storm | 17c | 543.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…0d98backed Seattle Storm | 20c | 499.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 498.05$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 458.79$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 66c | 431.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 380$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 331.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Seattle Storm | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc86…cc60backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 278.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 243$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Seattle Storm | 24c | 206.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 204.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 204.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 180.61$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 180.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 150.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 130.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 127.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…77babacked Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 125.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Seattle Storm | 33c | 102.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Seattle Storm | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…b54abacked Seattle Storm | 18c | 92.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…24bbbacked Seattle Storm | 34c | 90.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…3173backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 75.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 73.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…0f8cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 73.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 72.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Storm | 18c | 69.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 69.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Golden State Valkyries | 72c | 68.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…5de1backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 59.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bd…bb13backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 58.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Seattle Storm | 18c | 56.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…4145backed Seattle Storm | 24c | 50.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 45.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Seattle Storm | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Seattle Storm | 34c | 44.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ca…5482backed Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 39.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 34.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…1c23backed Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 27.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…0875backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 25.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden State Valkyries | 70c | 24.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 21.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Golden State Valkyries | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Golden State Valkyries | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Golden State Valkyries | 69c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…ab1fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.