TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73a8…5de1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Luan: Qian Sun vs Kosuke Ogurabacked Kosuke Ogura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.4
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Cristian (+1.5)backed Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$48.14
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$63.1
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.89
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$41.11
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38.33
Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landalucebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72%+$41.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$61.51
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$27.63
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53%+$45.91
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$59.4
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$15.32
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.94
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.