Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x805118823e2ed034d93830666ef7c948f1e68bb9c11342abc148c39d6ff477c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tommy Paulof Alex de Minaur, Tommy Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,319,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,492,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,319,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 592 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tommy Paul | 52c | 51,728$27,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,638.91 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Tommy Paul | 25c | 38,668$9,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,808.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…03a3backed Tommy Paul | 46c | 38,071$17,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,574.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Alex de Minaur | 36c | 36,004$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Alex de Minaur | 63c | 24,239$15,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,271.59 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Alex de Minaur | 59c | 19,448$11,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,455.85 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Alex de Minaur | 61c | 16,308$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Tommy Paul | 41c | 13,802$5,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,142.97 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Alex de Minaur | 50c | 13,763$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.79 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tommy Paul | 10c | 13,198$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,851.27 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tommy Paul | 40c | 9,319$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tommy Paul | 45c | 9,166$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Tommy Paul | 30c | 9,065$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.56 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Tommy Paul | 15c | 9,000$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,687.56 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…c59fbacked Alex de Minaur | 15c | 9,000$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Tommy Paul | 49c | 8,136$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.96 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Tommy Paul | 42c | 7,640$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.19 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Alex de Minaur | 55c | 7,204$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…3a0abacked Tommy Paul | 24c | 6,928$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.29 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tommy Paul | 41c | 6,847$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tommy Paul | 44c | 6,487$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.15 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tommy Paul | 28c | 6,073$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.8 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed Alex de Minaur | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Alex de Minaur | 77c | 5,906$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.14 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Tommy Paul | 41c | 5,864$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.66 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Tommy Paul | 9c | 5,758$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,257.93 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Alex de Minaur | 78c | 5,732$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.92 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tommy Paul | 42c | 5,258$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.2 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Tommy Paul | 52c | 5,221$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.85 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Alex de Minaur | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Tommy Paul | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Alex de Minaur | 34c | 4,851$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tommy Paul | 43c | 4,721$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.07 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tommy Paul | 19c | 4,671$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.81 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Alex de Minaur | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Tommy Paul | 39c | 4,418$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.58 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Alex de Minaur | 76c | 4,397$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.33 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 3,813$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.79 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tommy Paul | 59c | 3,708$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.63 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Tommy Paul | 25c | 3,668$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.3 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Alex de Minaur | 6c | 3,650$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…72d7backed Alex de Minaur | 61c | 3,595$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tommy Paul | 42c | 3,505$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.28 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tommy Paul | 36c | 3,425$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.2 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Tommy Paul | 22c | 3,359$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.67 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 3,339$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.87 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Tommy Paul | 37c | 3,234$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.24 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Alex de Minaur | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tommy Paul | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Alex de Minaur | 59c | 2,924$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.78 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Alex de Minaur | 66c | 2,899$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.08 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Tommy Paul | 34c | 2,873$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.01 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Tommy Paul | 51c | 2,839$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.17 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Tommy Paul | 50c | 2,800$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.82 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…0091backed Tommy Paul | 40c | 2,786$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Tommy Paul | 41c | 2,739$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Tommy Paul | 36c | 2,694$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.44 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Alex de Minaur | 57c | 2,536$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.77 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Alex de Minaur | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Tommy Paul | 41c | 2,374$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.39 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2c45backed Tommy Paul | 44c | 2,339$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.53 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tommy Paul | 40c | 2,234$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.52 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Tommy Paul | 44c | 2,223$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.27 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tommy Paul | 13c | 2,203$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.91 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…5cdebacked Alex de Minaur | 61c | 2,172$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.57 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Alex de Minaur | 26c | 2,151$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.14 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Tommy Paul | 73c | 2,086$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.94 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Alex de Minaur | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Alex de Minaur | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.99 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Tommy Paul | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Alex de Minaur | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 1,967$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.9 | 173 | 72.3%125 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Alex de Minaur | 26c | 1,899$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.9 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Tommy Paul | 4c | 1,894$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.23 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tommy Paul | 41c | 1,726$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.49 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alex de Minaur | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…375bbacked Alex de Minaur | 16c | 1,703$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.42 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Alex de Minaur | 31c | 1,681$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.96 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tommy Paul | 44c | 1,660$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…d7debacked Alex de Minaur | 13c | 1,634$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Alex de Minaur | 6c | 1,606$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…072ebacked Tommy Paul | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Alex de Minaur | 61c | 1,600$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.99 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…fa5cbacked Tommy Paul | 41c | 1,568$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Alex de Minaur | 59c | 1,496$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.69 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Alex de Minaur | 10c | 1,400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tommy Paul | 25c | 1,330$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.93 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…3c44backed Alex de Minaur | 75c | 1,326$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 1,275$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.13 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 1,272$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Tommy Paul | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Alex de Minaur | 15c | 1,247$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 1,215$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Tommy Paul | 42c | 1,196$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.91 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tommy Paul | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.47 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…dc9abacked Tommy Paul | 39c | 1,186$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Tommy Paul | 41c | 1,182$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.11 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…7763backed Alex de Minaur | 59c | 1,166$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Tommy Paul | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulthis page
- Alex de Minaur vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Minaur vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs PaulMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)Paul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.