TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb1b0…072e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8331.3%26 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.06
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Prestonbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.86
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Gironbacked Daniel Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$514.29
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$583.06
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$367.39
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$801.75
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$489.66
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaardbacked Thijs Boogaard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$731.69
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.72
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$542.25
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergsbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$623.64
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$289
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,348Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,520.09
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$331.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.82
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.29per pick15cpaid+166.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+221.3%+$486.96
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+996.2%+$358.64
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+354.5%+$248.18
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$426.32
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$57.74
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$76.87
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54.84
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$304.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+152.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CB Murcia vs. Barcelonabacked CB Murcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+296.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$451.06
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$89.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.