Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e876aba1e55cbdf424dd50066940ce0bb8a4356f8b4e2535ebb6ce0e10a6ee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emma Raducanuof Sorana Cirstea, Emma Raducanu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $581,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $706,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Emma Raducanu | 77c | 59,849$46,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,765.21 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Emma Raducanu | 49c | 30,735$15,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,729.89 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 28c | 28,257$8,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,008.32 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…f55bbacked Emma Raducanu | 67c | 27,166$18,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,069.85 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sorana Cirstea | 26c | 24,599$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,334.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Emma Raducanu | 53c | 23,727$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,226.67 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 12,110$5,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,911.72 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 11,693$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Emma Raducanu | 50c | 11,250$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 8,560$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365.6 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Sorana Cirstea | 50c | 7,820$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…f8fabacked Emma Raducanu | 51c | 7,684$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Emma Raducanu | 59c | 7,186$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.08 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sorana Cirstea | 53c | 6,053$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.93 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sorana Cirstea | 19c | 5,920$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sorana Cirstea | 32c | 5,459$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Emma Raducanu | 50c | 4,973$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Sorana Cirstea | 34c | 4,516$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Sorana Cirstea | 25c | 4,100$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.8 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Emma Raducanu | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sorana Cirstea | 36c | 3,889$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.21 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 3,826$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.56 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Sorana Cirstea | 11c | 3,713$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 3,438$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 47c | 3,173$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.4 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sorana Cirstea | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Emma Raducanu | 50c | 2,994$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.46 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 2,884$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.11 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…82f2backed Sorana Cirstea | 44c | 2,870$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 2,692$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.22 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 2,558$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.05 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Emma Raducanu | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 17c | 2,440$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.95 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sorana Cirstea | 1c | 2,421$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Sorana Cirstea | 50c | 2,401$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.48 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Sorana Cirstea | 42c | 2,399$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Emma Raducanu | 78c | 2,179$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.49 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Sorana Cirstea | 4c | 2,161$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…1c34backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Sorana Cirstea | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.53 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Emma Raducanu | 59c | 1,908$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.94 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sorana Cirstea | 25c | 1,892$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Emma Raducanu | 56c | 1,763$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.62 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Emma Raducanu | 75c | 1,673$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.2 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 1,671$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.89 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sorana Cirstea | 35c | 1,646$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.23 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 1,638$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Emma Raducanu | 50c | 1,572$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.46 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Emma Raducanu | 51c | 1,553$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.94 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…5fb9backed Emma Raducanu | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.86 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…aef2backed Emma Raducanu | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 1,486$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.24 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Sorana Cirstea | 16c | 1,406$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Emma Raducanu | 49c | 1,392$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.49 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Sorana Cirstea | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.99 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 1,082$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Sorana Cirstea | 52c | 1,070$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Emma Raducanu | 51c | 1,061$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.89 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Sorana Cirstea | 23c | 1,043$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sorana Cirstea | 26c | 1,040$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Sorana Cirstea | 50c | 1,016$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.84 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Sorana Cirstea | 50c | 1,005$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Sorana Cirstea | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Sorana Cirstea | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Emma Raducanu | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Sorana Cirstea | 52c | 960.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…7c22backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 950.75$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Sorana Cirstea | 5c | 945.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 934.79$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Emma Raducanu | 52c | 918.08$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.68 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…072ebacked Sorana Cirstea | 22c | 886.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 874.26$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.11 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Sorana Cirstea | 40c | 869.28$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Sorana Cirstea | 43c | 850$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.44 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Emma Raducanu | 49c | 849.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Emma Raducanu | 78c | 834.4$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Sorana Cirstea | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Sorana Cirstea | 35c | 830.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bad…4e22backed Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 829.43$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Sorana Cirstea | 50c | 810$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Sorana Cirstea | 50c | 800.7$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Emma Raducanu | 64c | 795.59$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sorana Cirstea | 47c | 795$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.65 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sorana Cirstea | 47c | 792.08$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.61 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 771.1$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.55 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Emma Raducanu | 70c | 769$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Emma Raducanu | 46c | 744.45$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.47 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Emma Raducanu | 51c | 732.25$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…50d6backed Emma Raducanu | 50c | 724.68$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sorana Cirstea | 50c | 710.55$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Emma Raducanu | 50c | 696.95$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…adcdbacked Emma Raducanu | 56c | 690.46$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.12 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 687.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Emma Raducanu | 77c | 650.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanuthis page
- Cirstea vs. Raducanu: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cirstea vs. Raducanu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5)Raducanu won
- Sorana Cirstea vs. Emma Raducanu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.