TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20cb…d211

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10358.3%60 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,469.61
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swanbacked Tereza Martincova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,399.99
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$367.17
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$672.68
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Xinyu Wang vs Lois Boissonbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$96.08
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$173.8
Martin Landaluce vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+57%+$95.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,273.18
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$236
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Khachanovbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.1
Pegula vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$4,233.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,778.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,728Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$1,162.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$520.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elise Mertens vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$216
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$143.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.11
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$99.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$688.68
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$62.98
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$225
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$171.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,677.5
Will FCSB win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+25%+$24.8
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.