Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ff0aea2be61472090f3fb1a452ee0a284ce7f47fb63f69e0051317bb29a5ef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,098,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,173,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,098,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 920 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa136…97debacked Yes | 75c | 4,181,186$3,129,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051,766.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed Yes | 75c | 2,086,473$1,573,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512,618.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 25c | 563,779$141,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,467.35 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…3ed2backed No | 25c | 520,717$129,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,504.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 25c | 515,138$128,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,893.63 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 25c | 514,030$128,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,422.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 25c | 427,675$105,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,418.63 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 25c | 330,000$82,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,499.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 25c | 327,302$81,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,825.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 23c | 233,784$54,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,067.98 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 24c | 221,907$54,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,226.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 25c | 202,500$50,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,624.99 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 25c | 200,716$50,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,658.32 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 25c | 200,181$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 24c | 177,744$41,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,946.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 24c | 160,838$38,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,246.19 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 74c | 150,000$111,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,999.99 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 25c | 130,036$32,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,508.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 25c | 128,887$32,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,207.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 26c | 120,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,200.08 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 25c | 119,223$29,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,532.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 25c | 113,610$28,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,402.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 26c | 105,000$26,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,850 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Yes | 75c | 102,468$76,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,616.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 25c | 100,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 25c | 97,692$24,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,073.49 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 25c | 92,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,999.99 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 23c | 88,476$20,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,234.61 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 25c | 83,634$20,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,908.49 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 25c | 80,554$19,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,859.59 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Yes | 79c | 80,000$63,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 24c | 73,523$17,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,431.11 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 23c | 67,210$15,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,688.68 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 60,473$14,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,216.48 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 25c | 55,148$13,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,554.27 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 25c | 52,453$13,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,248.25 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 26c | 50,345$12,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,864.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 26c | 50,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 25c | 50,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 26c | 49,550$12,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,757.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 25c | 40,373$10,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,093.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 74c | 40,305$29,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,339.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 25c | 36,509$9,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,127.3 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 25c | 32,000$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,930 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 25c | 29,365$7,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,307.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 24c | 29,006$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,986.02 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 18c | 26,569$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.38 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 26c | 24,398$6,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.85 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 76c | 23,944$18,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.37 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 25c | 23,526$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.76 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 25c | 22,393$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,584.85 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed No | 25c | 21,585$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 25c | 21,288$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.86 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 24c | 21,108$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 25c | 20,882$5,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,193.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 24c | 20,593$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.44 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 25c | 18,136$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 26c | 17,680$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.77 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 75c | 16,667$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.67 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 26c | 16,200$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 26c | 15,911$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 25c | 15,815$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 25c | 15,410$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed No | 25c | 15,335$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 25c | 15,264$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 74c | 14,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 13,846$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.39 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 26c | 13,353$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.48 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 25c | 13,241$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 26c | 12,976$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.65 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 12,652$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.25 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 75c | 12,637$9,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.33 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed No | 19c | 12,503$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 80c | 12,478$9,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.89 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 78c | 12,422$9,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.01 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 25c | 11,275$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.75 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.05 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 9,576$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.04 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 22c | 9,005$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.53 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 21c | 8,687$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.4 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 25c | 8,500$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 26c | 8,495$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 26c | 8,388$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 24c | 8,242$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.45 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 25c | 8,100$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed No | 18c | 7,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 25c | 7,370$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed No | 23c | 6,818$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked No | 25c | 6,749$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 25c | 6,400$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 19c | 6,368$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Yes | 72c | 6,301$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 20c | 6,237$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…b2efbacked Yes | 75c | 5,400$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed No | 25c | 5,398$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked No | 25c | 5,360$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 75c | 5,327$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.58 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.