TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$551,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$514,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes10c79,512$7,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,870.695345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Yes7c37,244$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes6c18,000$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.478043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes10c13,385$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.439141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes9c13,078$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.055552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Yes9c13,020$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c12,665$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.18531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes9c10,835$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes6c7,346$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.266,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Yes7c7,146$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.6811449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5cd…9aa5backed Yes1c5,755$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes7c5,150$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd11…e918backed Yes7c4,650$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.4840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb788…2b73backed Yes7c4,560$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.791435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes9c3,947$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes2c3,764$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes7c3,586$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.9927235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes8c3,137$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.828116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes7c2,526$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.739061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2433…99aebacked Yes6c2,426$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes8c2,418$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes9c2,128$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4493…6ae9backed Yes10c2,068$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes8c2,011$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.013444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes3c1,950$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes4c1,730$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635225%13 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a8…a3d3backed Yes8c1,623$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes7c1,498$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9915952.8%84 W · 75 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes7c1,493$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes7c1,481$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Yes7c1,480$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.61145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73af…b880backed Yes7c1,420$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edd…21f8backed Yes7c1,408$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…e910backed Yes9c1,124$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+102.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes7c1,119$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes9c1,116$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.049532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes7c1,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0110850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes7c1,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5197…0ce6backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes8c919.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.338233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes11c918.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5eca…bab3backed Yes6c899.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…f481backed Yes6c830.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.983828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes7c807$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.479849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb363…db78backed Yes7c799.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb722…c416backed Yes6c775.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Yes7c757.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503745.9%17 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1344…e722backed Yes7c757.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes7c752.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.175957.6%34 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes15c735.51$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.599949.5%49 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00c…0f71backed Yes7c715.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b0…f83bbacked Yes7c706.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes7c675.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes8c649.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502313%3 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes8c642.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes7c625$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5153344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Yes10c600$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes3c599.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Yes10c586.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.691154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes7c561.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes7c538$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.661513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes7c528.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8928859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68ad…a26ebacked Yes3c512.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes7c476.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0623531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No79c459.33$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes10c444$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6217337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…22ebbacked Yes7c438.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.221338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d3…7cc1backed Yes7c438.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x400c…bc73backed Yes7c430$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes11c427.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes7c413.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3145224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Yes7c413$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.912642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9390…6303backed Yes21c407.27$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes7c404.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0322146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes11c383.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4128070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Yes7c361.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde13…2310backed Yes7c352.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes10c345.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes10c335$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.163043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d63…ed55backed Yes8c322.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Yes14c316.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf711…31cbbacked Yes16c308.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c45…8e5cbacked Yes8c303.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Yes7c298.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1c…49c1backed Yes7c290.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.471942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Yes6c288.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes7c285.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes7c268.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1429250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Yes10c266.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.443641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes10c262.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2410634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes10c259.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes9c226.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8db…bbddbacked Yes7c225.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed Yes7c218.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes7c218.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.971136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes11c210.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.928442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed Yes12c207.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes18c205.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.55259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes11c203.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.192532%8 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.