TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2759…2b38backed Yes16c23,720$3,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,707.439141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes2c19,324$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.761,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Yes11c13,020$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c10,309$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.046,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes12c6,672$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.9932345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Yes12c4,878$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes13c3,382$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.918116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes20c3,111$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.733444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x987e…990dbacked Yes14c2,747$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes15c2,485$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.129849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes12c2,049$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504325.6%11 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes5c1,950$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes15c1,659$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes8c1,359$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bbc…90d5backed Yes3c1,020$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f88…cd62backed Yes16c958.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2232…a794backed Yes14c941$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Yes14c930$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c922.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4538233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2756…42efbacked Yes14c922$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked Yes3c908.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes14c905$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e1…1d2ebacked Yes14c901$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…0137backed Yes14c894$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes16c855.05$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes14c836$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes20c824$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.82560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3211…49e2backed Yes12c822.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a25…30eebacked Yes13c787.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes14c728$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x427e…5ab4backed Yes14c684$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes12c680.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2516848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcde9…d705backed Yes14c668$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8465…6cd7backed Yes14c668$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce65…66fdbacked Yes14c662$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.34333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07a…98f7backed Yes3c643.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes10c584.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.310634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes6c570$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes14c428.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5280853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes13c387.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes14c376.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2928859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7b0…f83bbacked Yes13c375.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes4c366.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134320.9%9 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc20f…ab16backed Yes12c364.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb940…85bfbacked Yes13c362.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.63333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No78c347.47$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes15c335.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes18c330.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.119949.5%49 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes12c313.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3745224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…22ebbacked Yes9c306.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.781338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes16c293.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.412948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes17c281.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.159532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes20c281$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0617337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a8…a91bbacked Yes20c254.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0266…efe4backed Yes13c232.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Yes12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.781145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes24c209.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Yes22c200.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes19c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Yes12c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.71520%3 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb6…b122backed Yes5c197.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+76.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Yes14c175.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb549…12debacked Yes11c174$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.143737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes12c169.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203517.1%6 W · 29 L-7.1wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbf74…aa8ebacked Yes12c166.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes12c162.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206527.7%18 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257d…e146backed Yes13c158.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes13c158.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No74c146.76$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1637342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f47…ae5dbacked Yes19c145$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes14c141.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2615952.8%84 W · 75 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Yes12c139.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.155145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes23c135.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.467946.8%37 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9390…6303backed Yes20c131.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.611330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed No77c130.52$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes16c122.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8811232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff8…f8c1backed Yes14c121.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes12c120.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0218…3354backed Yes13c108.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes12c105.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5121…c122backed Yes13c101.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b88…6deabacked Yes22c100.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2320958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.310338.8%40 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddbc…6965backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf355…5ab7backed Yes20c98.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes24c95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.541956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes15c89.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1911652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x812c…b81fbacked Yes12c83.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No78c80.86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.793066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2767…886abacked Yes13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101070%7 W · 3 L+4.7wins+0.47per pick23cpaid+173.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes14c72.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ca…f810backed Yes15c72.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23636.1%13 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Yes15c70.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1210054%54 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes23c46.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No78c33.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No74c22.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.877065.7%46 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.