TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc20f…ab16

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Music at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.34
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Daniil Glinka vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Federico Cina vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Francesco Maestrelli vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.59
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Oleg Prihodkobacked Oleg Prihodko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.47
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Dali Blanchbacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$730
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Bordeaux: Luca Van Assche vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Valencia: Matteo Berrettini vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Oeiras 4: Vilius Gaubas vs Petr Brunclikbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$680.4
Bengaluru 2: Yuta Kawahashi vs Kriish Tyagibacked Kriish Tyagi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$622.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.09
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$247.98
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$129.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$280
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.48
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zach Dembo be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.