Music · resolved market
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a4cc96ff8f1fe648cf64894e28ca0593d5d156b77ef5f0e39a94a23880998c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 34c | 5,607$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.59 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 36c | 2,066$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.21 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 44c | 1,493$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 52c | 1,290$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.58 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a4…6742backed No | 67c | 1,100$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed Yes | 22c | 763.81$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +355.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked No | 34c | 726.02$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…d1e5backed No | 42c | 600$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 24c | 550.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.69 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…dd1abacked No | 42c | 500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 55c | 499.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.43 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 67c | 398.68$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes | 30c | 368.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 49c | 340.73$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 72c | 272.61$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 47c | 265.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 68c | 232$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed No | 35c | 230$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 215.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 48c | 211.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 36c | 207$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed No | 53c | 201$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x432c…e67abacked No | 30c | 194$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed Yes | 52c | 185.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…f12dbacked Yes | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 167$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 56c | 161.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 50c | 160.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 55c | 159.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…c967backed No | 31c | 150.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 52c | 120.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 16c | 116$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…e9eebacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…66ecbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…3287backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…a60dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…66b5backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…fc2fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…3543backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…101dbacked Yes | 24c | 93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 74c | 91.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 67c | 89.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 28c | 78.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 18c | 71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…b23ebacked Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Yes | 50c | 69.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 36c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked No | 79c | 61.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…59d3backed Yes | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked No | 79c | 56.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…5f8abacked Yes | 40c | 50.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…6be6backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…af7cbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…5be9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac1…896ebacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e36cbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…c627backed Yes | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 62c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…22f5backed Yes | 58c | 42.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 70c | 42.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…cb6cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 35c | 39.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed No | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc301…6760backed Yes | 42c | 36.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked Yes | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…390bbacked No | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…7201backed No | 53c | 28.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…dd13backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 74c | 24.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked No | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…6a1dbacked No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…e485backed No | 74c | 14.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?this page
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 160k?No won
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?No won
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 140k and 160k?No won
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?No won
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.